That's helped. BRONCOS: Over their past four games they've held running backs to 3.9 yards per carry and zero rushing touchdowns. With another year in this offense and the weapons that Wilson has to work with, I think he is going to take a major step forward. All Rights Reserved. The matchup has been incredible and quarterbacks are constantly exploiting it. They still have a lot of work to do. HISTORY: Only has one amazing game out of three against the Vikings while with the Lions (Week 13 last year), but he has attempted at least 35 passes in each meeting and has at least 275 yards in each of his past two. More significantly, he has a reception of 30-plus yards in four of his past five games. HISTORY: Including last week, there have been four times in 2022 when Mike Evans has seen six or fewer targets. O/U 51.5, NE -1.5 A major reason for this has been the downsizing of his usage in the Cleveland offense. LAST WEEK: His start against the Vikings began terribly with a tipped interception, another tipped near-INT, a number of off-target throws and nothing impressive until just before halftime. The other was against the Bears, which was Wilson's first game with the Dolphins. He's been excellent. This will not be Derek Carrs first rodeo facing off against the Broncos in 2022. Dotson has been a big play guy on this offense, thriving when he gets enough targets to convert them into long gains and scores. Whether you drafted him or picked him up off waivers early on, we are all united this week on the Rachaad White train and the train is set to leave the station. Cam Akers is ranked as a top 15 running back by many despite only scoring 15 fantasy points in 2/14 games. I do not think that Forman is a sit in most situations, however, his bust potential is sky high and his production is a product of excellent timing. The other was against the Bears, which was Wilson's first game with the Dolphins. There's no doubt the Lions defense is getting better, but offenses are still throwing downfield on them even though the squad is getting well north of a 30% pressure rate pretty much every week. I'm not convinced he can do either of those things, but because the game figures to be high scoring, there's a chance for it. CARDINALS: Have seen five of the past six QBs faced attain at least 24 Fantasy points. O/U 41, PHI -7 They've improved across the board compared to the beginning of the season thanks to some personnel decisions and a strong pass rush. Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Sleepers, Busts & Round-by-Round Advice (2022) | FantasyPros Draft Wizard My Playbook Premium Log In NFL Home Tools In-Season My Playbook Who Should I Start?. BENGALS: The only QBs to notch more than 17 Fantasy points against the Bengals are Jacoby Brissett (who ran for a touchdown in Week 8 to finish with 22) and Patrick Mahomes (who had 20 Fantasy points last week). As bad as the unit has been as a whole, the Steelers' defense has done well at stifling the tight end position. The Buccaneers don't seem to stand much of a chance if they're going to run the ball. He has consistently seen low target volume (five or fewer in all but two games) and does not get much yardage (under 50 yards in every game this year). Over the past two weeks, he only has 4 rushing attempts and 21 snaps played. The things we know can help us minimize the impact of the things we don't know. Three receivers have scored in those games. I see him getting more work this season and improving on what he did in his rookie season and if Damien Harris who is in the last year of his rookie contract were to get injured it would be the sky is the limit for Stevenson. LAST WEEK: Cousins started the game 1 for 8 passing and didn't play like his normal self against the Jets, completing 60% of his passes for just 4.9 yards per attempt. You might be okay with that if your other options are Tyler Conklin, Dawson Knox or Tyler Higbee. The same thing could happen this week to Collins. The exception is when he's running wide open like he found himself late last week on a 25-yard reception against Cover-2 coverage. Trusting Mac Jones is difficult to do, particularly if his top receiver, Jakobi Meyers, does not play in the game. And of all receivers with at least 50 receptions, Evans ranks second in ADOT (13.17) and 11th in end-zone targets (eight). Mooney is pulling a 28.0% target share (WR10) this season, earning five or more targets in every game since Week 2. I'm definitely giving Pacheco plenty of credit for his past few games, just like Andy Reid has given Pacheco opportunities in those same games. O/U 44.5, SF -3.5 Each scored -- Carter on a rush, Robinson on a short catch. After smothering Derrick Henry in Week 10, Josh Jacobs and D'Onta Foreman pulverized them for over 100 rush yards each. It's elite territory! And, Cook was the better runner, besting Singletary in yards per carry along with yards before and after contact. It's too early to be absolutely sure on which matchups will be easy and which ones will be tough, but we can take some educated guesses based on healthy personnel, defensive schemes, track records and key details of offenses. Mac Jones looked silly dinking and dunking against them last Thursday. 4:25 pm ET Good news for anyone who kept Allen Robinson. In fact, Thielen has five or fewer catches in 7 of his past 8 against them. Give me receivers with upside like D.J. BILLS: Jared Goff and Jacoby Brissett became the second and third QBs to notch over 20 Fantasy points against them in 2022, and it came in the past three weeks. Pacheco has a tougher path to elite fantasy football games with his lack of targets but he is emerging as the lead back on the best offense in football and gets a great matchup to top it off. RAVENS: Since Week 4, only two wide receivers have amassed over 10 non-PPR/15 PPR points against Baltimore. Fun fact: In their past three games the Jets have given up a league-best 0.86 YAC/reception to receivers on throws of 12-plus yards. His injuries have included rib separation, high ankle sprain, shoulder, and most notably a torn Achilles. He's more versatile and has simply played better when given his opportunities. Rhamondre Stevenson had 5.4 yards per carry last Thursday. 8:15 pm ET The biggest negative had nothing to do with him and everything to do with his O-line not consistently blocking well for him, which will be an issue until next year. It is said that one of the most important things in business is location, location, location. He has had injuries to the chest, calf, hamstring, and knees which he had to have surgery on both after the 2020 season. It's a change from earlier this year when he was in the 8-to-9 yard range. 2 RBs go, Akers should fit into lineups with some confidence, especially because of the matchup at home on a short week. There are lots of places to find value in fantasy drafts. I believe Seattle's run defense will struggle with Foreman, just as they've struggled with other good running backs this year. Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson appear levels ahead of their fellow 2022 draft mates. In fact, Johnson only has one WR2 game in PPR and none in half-PPR. LAST WEEK: The Bills revealed a formation where Nyheim Hines ran in motion with Cook in the backfield. O/U 43, SEA -3.5 It's a massive leap of faith to trust Okonkwo, but the matchup is right, and if there's no Treylon Burks, the Titans will find themselves thin on bigger targets for Ryan Tannehill to lean on. In their past 11 games, a running back has had at least 10 non-PPR points 10 times. He has been moved to tight end this year and with the current roster, I believe he is the best tight end on the team. Last year they finished 31st and that was with Derrick Henry getting injured in Week 8 and missing the rest of the regular season. The Detroit Lions defense has been allowing a flood of fantasy points to the quarterback position and they are showing no signs of letting up after allowing Justin Fields to torch them for 40 fantasy points in Week 10. RAIDERS: Have missed 31 tackles in their past five games (third-most in that span). 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. Moreover, the leading target-getter against Seattle this season has hit or topped 14 PPR points in 8 of 12 games. You should feel more comfortable starting or sitting players based on the information given, and feeling comfortable with your Fantasy lineup before the games start is the best feeling in the world. His fierce, physical style is a bad matchup for the Seahawks. PICKENS: Has six or fewer targets in seven straight games. Last season Jets were third in pass play percentage and just added one of the best wide receivers in the draft in Wilson. It shouldn't be too hard to envision the Chiefs building a big lead this week, nor should it be too hard to figure Pacheco gets the opportunities to handle running downs before the game is in hand and well after. The time has come for waiver rankings! Moore had a 23.5-yard ADOT, his highest of the season and his second game of the year over 11.5 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson is a big-bodied running back with great yards after contact and is excellent at breaking tackles. Luminaries like Stefon Diggs, Ja'Marr Chase, Amari Cooper, Chris Godwin, Christian Kirk and Jerry Jeudy have been foiled for fewer Fantasy points. It wasn't as if the Saints were double-covering Evans -- they hardly did -- it had more to do with Tom Brady continuing to throw quickly after the snap to negate any pass rush. section: | slug: fantasy-football-week-14-lineup-decisions-starts-sits-sleepers-and-busts-to-know-for-every-game | sport: football | route: article_single_fantasy | Hurst has a target share of 14.5% (TE17) with an 18.5% target rate (TE24), putting the veteran tight end firmly in the touchdown-or-bust territory. His offensive snap percentage also dropped in those games. He's still startable, but passers with upside like Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins and Jared Goff are preferred. LAST WEEK: Collins effectively operated as Houston's No. These numbers have been right about in line with how they've done against outside wideouts all year. He is set to exceed projections this week against the Chargers. LAST WEEK: Ran 20 routes, a season high, likely because Treylon Burks got hurt early in the game. I also see him lining up in the backfield at times especially if Alvin Kamarais suspended. I could see him being a big red-zone threat as a tight end and definitely as a running back inside the five-yard line. He struggled otherwise against the Bills, Cowboys and Jets, three very good defenses. PICKENS: Has six or fewer targets in seven straight games. By my count, Pickett missed five opportunities to throw to Pickens in 1-on-1 coverage including once in the end zone. DARNOLD: Going back to their time together in 2021, Moore has earned a target share north of 20% in each of 13 games together, and above 30% in 8 of 13 games! The Broncos' rookie tight end fell flat in Week 10, catching just one pass on four targets (9.5% TS). O/U 44.5, I agree to receive the "Fantasy Football Today Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. Fantasy Football is all about the matchups. He was earning good enough usage to make him somewhat fantasy viable but still not producing fantasy numbers as consistently as managers had hoped. Maddox's return this week would boost the unit, though on the season they've still struggled containing slot guys after the catch (5.77). With no Darren Waller, no Hunter Renfrow and the Broncos being most susceptible against the run, I anticipate the Raiders to run the ball a lot with Josh Jacobs, just like they did in Week four when he had nearly 30 rushing attempts. Yes, a Jets player. It was a frustrating game. This post is presented by PrizePicks! So that's cool. Greg Dulcich set fire to the fantasy football world in his first three career games, posting three consecutive performances inside of the top 12 players at the position (TE11, TE7, TE9). 49ERS: Have allowed a receiver to hit 15 PPR Fantasy points 10 times this year. The Fantasy Football by Broto app is now live on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store! While it is never fun to see an injury occur, White filled in very well for Fournette when needed. JETS: Have allowed 4.4 yards per carry and two rushing touchdowns in their past two games (both last week). It was one fewer route than Austin Hooper ran. The Jaguars veteran has turned a respectable 22.6% target share on the season into 60 receptions for 578 yards but has only one touchdown. There's no evidence that Kyren Williams is a better runner. The Falcons are 26th against the run in EPA and are the 5th best matchup for RBs - just running, not receiving - in Brotos True Matchup Rank. Knight also had three carries inside the 5-yard line where he was tackled at the 1 twice but in the end zone zero times. EVANS: Had four targets last week, catching them all for 59 yards. If that was unique to their matchup against the Pats then it won't be seen much again, but if it's a new curveball they're going to use then it will absolutely take Singletary off the field and give opportunities to Cook. The good news for them (and not for Thielen) is that they're holding receivers to a 61.9% catch rate (ninth-lowest), 12.9 yards per catch (just about league average) and 3.94 YAC/reception (a little better than league average). O/U 44.5, BUF -9.5 RAIDERS: Have given up a pass rush pressure on 36.8% of their offensive snaps during Carr's five-game streak, a considerable amount but not too much higher than the 34.8% they've allowed on the season. 6. RAMS: The matchup is real good -- a tight end has at least 10 half-PPR points against L.A. in five of its past six. That helps Goff. FILM: Last week was the best Akers has looked since 2020. I'd rather start Tom Brady or Ryan Tannehill. He's dominated the Lions specifically in Detroit, posting at least 23 Fantasy points in each of four games there while with Minnesota. Two problems are at play: One, there's too much uncertainty in the Bills run game to count on Singletary to for-sure come through, and two, there isn't much upside. He only has 1 weekly RB1 finish on the year, a game in which he had two touchdowns against the Panthers in the first game of the season. I'd start him in any format over Devin Singletary and any Ravens RB, and he's palatable in non-PPR, but I would not get cute and start him over D'Onta Foreman, Dameon Pierce or Jeff Wilson. FOREMAN: Since becoming a key part of the Panthers offense in Week 7, Foreman has been top-20 in yards before contact (1.44) and top-11 in yards after contact (3.18) per rush. He hasn't thrown an interception in four straight. Managers should have no confidence in the fourth-year wideout rising to the occasion against a difficult defensive opponent. Unfortunately, the value of those opportunities has proven to be virtually worthless, evidence-backed by Kenny Picketts 36th-ranked True Throw Value of 0.304. The air of magic that wafts mystically around Taylor Heinicke on a near-yearly basis has been snuffed out over the past two contests. That means 78% of the time opposing QBs have not even finished as a QB2 on the week. These fearsome tales of a defense that refuses to concede ground to opposing tight ends are reflected by the Saints' negative Points Over Average of -44.2% to the position, ranked dead last in True Matchup Rank at 32nd overall. O/U 44.5, FFT: Injury updates, latest Week 14 rankings, Week 14 Fantasy football rankings, picks, lineups, Injury report: Barkley, Metcalf, Lawrence questionable. That is the definition of shutdown. I'd give Jones a shot over Deshaun Watson, Ryan Tannehill and Tyler Huntley. JETS: Have allowed 4.4 yards per carry and two rushing touchdowns in their past two games (both last week). Cooper has minimal resale value beyond the production he places in your lineups but buying points is a surprisingly underutilized strategy in dynasty circles. His upside is solely tied to that volume, so be aware that the downside remains an issue. LAST WEEK: Ran 20 routes, a season high, likely because Treylon Burks got hurt early in the game. You might be okay with that if your other options are Tyler Conklin, Dawson Knox or Tyler Higbee. But it took a while for him to get going (3.5 yards per carry through the first three quarters; 11.0 yards per carry in the fourth thanks to a 48-yard left-end run). ROUTES: On top of the improved ADOT, it's worth noting Moore's average route depth has hit 10.0 or more yards in four of his past five games. Sam Darnold attempted just six second-half passes. Hurst will need to find the endzone, perhaps on several occasions, in order to return value in fantasy lineups this week. PRESCOTT: Has been playing marvelously -- a 71% completion rate, 0.23 EPA per dropback, 7.8 yards per attempt and a touchdown every 14 pass attempts (and 30.5 pass attempts per game). RB Antonio Gibson and TE Logan Thomas are the only other players seeing enough targets to compete with Dotson but with Curtis Samuel seemingly fizzling out in this offense, Dotson will not only return to his WR3 role but also get a chance to become the WR2 behind Terry McLaurin. WEEK 3: Goff was pretty pedestrian, throwing for 277 yards and a touchdown with an interception. LAST WEEK: Evans didn't even see a target until the end of the first half when he had a completion overturned (which means he didn't actually have an official target until the third quarter). OKONKWO: It's not much, but Okonkwo has five targets in consecutive games. LAST WEEK: Played the lowest snap rate of the season (68%) as the Steelers opted for a ground attack, especially in the second half (nine pass attempts in the second half for Kenny Pickett). Sporting a 73.8 PFF receiving grade and averaging 1.70 yards per route run, Williams is having a solid season. NFL Fantasy Football Forecast Week 14 | Mike Calendrillo/Sportscasting Quarterback Bust of the Week: Tom Brady Luke Norris: Minus the final few minutes of his miracle Monday night comeback, Tom Brady struggled to move the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense against a New Orleans Saints defense that ranks in the bottom fourth of the NFL against the pass. FILM: Pacheco has a great burst to give the Chiefs a much-needed change-up in their run game. LIONS: Have allowed the most Fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. The Denver Broncos defense has been a woodchipper for opposing fantasy QBs all season long. O/U 53, PIT -2.5 So that's cool. They did it 12 times against the Patriots, and Cook averaged 6.0 yards per carry thanks to a 28-yard jaunt. VIKINGS: Are among the worst at defending running backs through the air, allowing an 89% catch rate, 9.2 yards per catch and a gaudy 10.16 YAC/reception to RBs in their past four. Cincy is a really well-rounded team that is expected to get their star WR, JaMarr Chase, back. Obviously Carr has adjusted -- his QB rating when pressured over those five games is 102.8. Tack on Kenny Pickett making his first-ever start in this hard-fought, low-scoring series, and there's no reason to push Pickens into lineups. JAGUARS: Have allowed at least nine half-PPR points to multiple tight ends in two of their past three games. Moore had a 23.5-yard ADOT, his highest of the season and his second game of the year over 11.5 yards. Since taking a hold of a meaningful role in the Chiefs offense starting in Week 10, Pacheco has averaged 4.8 yards per carry with 34.3% of his runs good for five or more yards (tied for 11th-best among all RBs with at least 40 carries). PACHECO: Still splitting reps with mostly Jerick McKinnon, but the rookie has at least 14 carries and at least 80 total yards in each of his past four games with a touchdown in each of his past two. Probably dont take them all (Jefferson, Cook, etc. Cooper has minimal resale value beyond the production he places in your lineups but buying points is a surprisingly underutilized strategy in dynasty circles. Per Pro Football Reference, he has not allowed a single TD on 62 targets and is allowing around 36 yards per game.This has the makings of a difficult game for Johnson, more so than usual. He saw some usage as a receiver but only caught 2 of his 3 targets for a combined -2 receiving yards. If you are anything like me, you have been stashing White on your bench in all of your leagues, waiting for him to have an opportunity like this. LAST WEEK: The Patriots didn't call for many downfield pass attempts for Jones, who finished with a 6.13 ADOT despite getting sacked once and having 3.25 seconds to throw on average. Sign up with the promo code FACEOFF for a 100% match up to $100! The Jets have done a lot in free agency and the draft to help out their second-year quarterback Zach Wilson. . If you want to win your league and bring home a championship this season, you'll need to crush your 2022 Fantasy football rankings. RAIDERS: Let's be real, the only reason why you'd start Moreau is that you're stuck streaming a tight end, perhaps as a bye-week replacement. The things we know can help us minimize the impact of the things we don't know. STEELERS: Mike Tomlin always seems to have his defense ready to take on running quarterbacks -- only seven have run for over 50 yards against them, and only nine have scored on them since the start of the 2016 season. This Watson scored through the air and added a second one on the ground via a 46 yard run. Pacheco seems to be especially effective running inside of the tackle box (5.4 yards per carry in his past four). 6-keys: media/fantasynews/nfl/reg/free/stories, Thu, Dec 8 at In those four games he has seven red-zone targets and five end-zone targets. This is a perfect bounce-back spot for a WR who can beat his Week 12 projection with a single catch. Chuba Hubbard was eased in last week when he finally returned but a rise in usage is very likely at some point in the season. He'll be in my starting lineup over Dameon Pierce, Jamaal Williams, and in non-PPR, both Buccaneers running backs. He's had more than 12 PPR points once in those four, which is bad. Akers has 14 carries in 2 of his past 3. Fantasy players are always on the search for sleepers that can help complete a roster, while also looking to avoid potential busts that can bring a team down. LAST WEEK: Finished with 118 total yards in his first start on 20 touches (five receptions). . The biggest negative had nothing to do with him and everything to do with his O-line not consistently blocking well for him, which will be an issue until next year. He's worth trying over Tyler Boyd, Diontae Johnson and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Find out who to draft, pick up and start while receiving analysis of the latest news from around the league. 2 Fantasy receiver. ), but there should be touchdowns left and right in this matchup. He was a reliable short-area target who was much more utilized as a receiver than as a blocker. During the remaining games of that same stretch, Hunt averaged a little over 6 half PPR points per game and finished the week as an RB3 or lower eight times. Akers has 14 carries in 2 of his past 3. DARNOLD: Going back to their time together in 2021, Moore has earned a target share north of 20% in each of 13 games together, and above 30% in 8 of 13 games! WEEK 9: Michael Carter and James Robinson split work against the Bills. Player images are not owned by Faceoff Sports Network. O/U 44, DET -2.5 JETS: Have been outstanding both recently and all year defending passes to wideouts that travel 12-plus Air Yards. ALSO OF NOTE: Watson had seven carries but three were kneel-downs. His receiving corps is deep (not to mention fast), his pass protection is mostly good, he's been playing moderately well of late and he's in a game with potential to be high-scoring. COWBOYS: Are middle-of-the-pack in Fantasy points allowed to wide receivers and in several other metrics against outside receivers. BRONCOS: Over their past four games they've held running backs to 3.9 yards per carry and zero rushing touchdowns. If there is one constant in this matchup, it is that the Broncos have an elite defense. WHITE: Would have had 22 Fantasy points last week had Braxton Berrios hung on to a fourth-quarter, fourth-down pass flicked into his chest in the end zone. To be fair, he also missed out on three possessions because the Browns defense scored twice and kick-return game scored once, leaving him with only 22 attempts. The 2022 fantasy football season is quickly approaching. Two problems are at play: One, there's too much uncertainty in the Bills run game to count on Singletary to for-sure come through, and two, there isn't much upside. Hill has had some hype in the past and been talked about as the potential starter at the quarterback position, but I believe Jameis Winston has that locked up. Booms and Busts: Week 13 Fantasy Football Studs and Duds Including Jimmy Garoppolo, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Jefferson, Tee Higgins, Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley Week 12 was the ultimate boom-or-bust . I'm happy to call Goff a top-12 quarterback this week worth starting ahead of Tyler Huntley, Tom Brady and Deshaun Watson. You'll have to decide if Huntley's potential as a rusher is worth the risk of starting, especially knowing that he's not an aggressive passer, nor that he has a favorable matchup. Many people point to the fact that Brown is gone and that there are a ton of vacated targets, but is that really accurate? LAST WEEK: Wilson barely played. Fantasy Football Bust: Sammy Watkins. I'm ready to start Mike Evans, D.J. They rank top-five in defensive pass EPA, completions of 20-plus yards (21), completion rate (40.2%) and YAC/reception (2.77) allowed. All Rights Reserved. PAST FIVE: Carr has scored 20-plus Fantasy points in each, attempted at least 30 passes in each and thrown multiple touchdowns in each. I'd start him over Mike Evans, Amari Cooper and both top 49ers wide receivers. Swift got hurt in the middle of the game, Chark got hurt late in the game, St. Brown wasn't special and T.J. Hockenson accounted for his only score. VIKINGS: Didn't allow a passing touchdown last week, but should have given up one if not two to the Jets. It should give Evans plenty of opportunities to connect. I think just about everyone from the Lions/Vikings game is worth a play, so pick your poison. ALSO OF NOTE: Watson had seven carries but three were kneel-downs. EAGLES: Have allowed 8.3 yards per catch (league-best) and 2.82 YAC/reception (eighth-best) to outside receivers in their past three. We look for players to avoid in our fantasy football drafts or for which players are going to finally take the next step. If you just can't stomach sitting Davis because of his upside, I get it, but at the very least consider your other options -- anyone with a consistent track record of getting 9 non-PPR/12 PPR points is worth taking over him. The Raiders also have a negative point differential of 0.425 points per quarter further lending credence to the narrative of a pass-heavy game against a capable and confident Seahawks offense. But it took a while for him to get going (3.5 yards per carry through the first three quarters; 11.0 yards per carry in the fourth thanks to a 48-yard left-end run). RAMS: Trusting any Rams player isn't easy, but as low-end No. NFL rookie outlooks for fantasy football Week 13 (2022). BRONCOS: Have given up 4.8 yards per carry to running backs on runs inside of the tackle box this season. O/U 37, MIA -3 4:05 pm ET There's great potential for both Dolphins backs to have solid games in Week 14, but if I had to pick one I'd pick Wilson. You could definitely make an argument that the Jets grabbed the best rookie running back and wide receiver in this class, which might not be getting talked about enough. 9:20 pm ET, LV -6 PAST FOUR: Davis has seen seven or more targets in 3 of his past 4, which isn't bad. He just tried more throws downfield in the second half. Sun, Dec 11 at I'd rather start Tom Brady or Ryan Tannehill. For all inquiries contact usfffaceoff@gmail.com. I'd start him in any format over Devin Singletary and any Ravens RB, and he's palatable in non-PPR, but I would not get cute and start him over D'Onta Foreman, Dameon Pierce or Jeff Wilson. The 49ers' star tight end averaged just 6.78 PPR PPG in those games, securing only one TE1 finish. O/U 44, SEA -3.5 I'd start him over Miles Sanders, Travis Etienne and Zonovan Knight. Seriously. Despite that, he has been phased out of the offense. Quarterbacks versus Houston have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game (third-fewest in the NFL). WEEK 9: Singletary totaled 48 yards and four catches in limited work in their loss at the Jets. Definitely allowed over 300 yards passing for the fourth-straight week. Despite that, he's still among the top-20 receivers this season in targets and receiving yards. The Falcons' secondary couldnt band together to stop a stiff breeze let alone the production of opposing quarterbacks. WITH DAVIS MILLS: Collins had a below-average 59.6% catch rate but did average a modest 1.82 yards per route run, and a gaudy 14.4 yards per catch. As disappointing as his recent totals have been, Heinicke's downfall was to be expected and is oddly encouraging for his looming trajectory. All PFF+ subscribers now have access to our revamped fantasy football draft guide, which has all the streamlined and intuitive features you'll need to dominate your draft this season. Vanilla Vick. WEEK 9: Michael Carter and James Robinson split work against the Bills. I might be crazy but it would not surprise me if he finished with 800 total yards and eight touchdowns. He Is the PPR WR42 on the year and his 10.1 PPG is worse than Zay Jones, Josh Reynolds and Darius Slayton. Hayden looks at promising fantasy rookies at QB, RB, and WR to identify potential sleepers and busts. Luminaries like Stefon Diggs, Ja'Marr Chase, Amari Cooper, Chris Godwin, Christian Kirk and Jerry Jeudy have been foiled for fewer Fantasy points. Check out patreon.com/BRotofantasy to access extra episodes, join our community, win prizes, and help keep the app free. Dillon finally repaid the managers that remained loyal throughout his downfall with 17.8 PPR points (RB12), marking his first top-12 performance since Week 1. Singletary played one more snap than Cook, the first time all year they've been this close to even in snaps. That's great, but they've also been run on. ROUTES: On top of the improved ADOT, it's worth noting Moore's average route depth has hit 10.0 or more yards in four of his past five games. This was also done in a game where Pacheco lost a fumble early on. Good luck in Tampa TB12 & Gronk!!! Could he get over 15? And just for the record, Moore has seen 11 red-zone targets and nine end-zone targets from Darnold in those 13 games. It's that volume that keeps Evans in Fantasy lineups as a low-end No. They've allowed the second-most Fantasy points to running backs and the absolute most rush yards per carry to RBs on the year. CARDINALS: Are among the best at defending passes of 16-plus Air Yards, and among the worst at defending passes of 15 or fewer Air Yards. The Texans are the most difficult WR matchup according to Brotos True Matchup Rank and the Eagles are the 10th most difficult. That is a league losing performance and that is exactly what the Denver Broncos defense has been forcing out of quarterbacks all season long. JAGUARS: Have allowed at least nine half-PPR points to multiple tight ends in two of their past three games. He'll be in my starting lineup over Dameon Pierce, Jamaal Williams, and in non-PPR, both Buccaneers running backs. And, Moreau has scored just twice this season. Download it today for a start/sit tool, player cards, exclusive statistics, usage, rankings, interactive tools, coaching tendencies, and much, much more! Ill be using Chase in GPPs this week. I'd rather start Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and DeVonta Smith, but I'd take Evans over D.J. EVANS: Has at least eight targets in 6 of his past 9 games. The offense is more explosive now. The team is taking small strides towards correcting that course by allowing second-year quarterback Justin Fields to play schoolyard football, running amok against helpless defenders. In the week following the first three occasions, Evans bounced back to see 10, 15, and nine targets from Brady. SLAYTON: Has at least 86 receiving yards in three of his past four games, eight-plus targets in two of his past three, at least 8 non-PPR points in four of his past 6 and at least 11 PPR points in five of his past 6. Even though you drafted your team with certain hopes and intentions, your weekly . His rushing average collapsed from 4.5 in the first quarter to 2.7 in the final three quarters, but his role as the Rams' feature back (85% of the RB carries, played 3 of 4 snaps inside the 10) figures to remain his for at least a week. Most of his routes are short. BILLS: Jared Goff and Jacoby Brissett became the second and third QBs to notch over 20 Fantasy points against them in 2022, and it came in the past three weeks. HISTORY: Cousins has multiple passing touchdowns in 4 of his past 5 against the Lions and at least 250 passing yards in four straight. E.J. That includes a ridiculous 14 target game where he finished with a 3-39-0 stat line. His off-target rate was 14.3% (11th-highest), and in fact his off-target rate in his past four games is 11.7% (ninth-highest). Those will be the types of throws the Bills may have to settle for on Sunday, just as they did in Week 9 in New York. BRONCOS: Have given up 4.8 yards per carry to running backs on runs inside of the tackle box this season. 8:15 pm ET LAST WEEK: Played the lowest snap rate of the season (68%) as the Steelers opted for a ground attack, especially in the second half (nine pass attempts in the second half for Kenny Pickett). They did it 12 times against the Patriots, and Cook averaged 6.0 yards per carry thanks to a 28-yard jaunt. Garrett Wilson had another excellent performance this week, proving that all he needs is a capable QB to get him the ball. I'm not even sure he's safe for 10 PPR points, but his upside to score big on one or two plays keeps him in the mix as a flex. The good news for them (and not for Thielen) is that they're holding receivers to a 61.9% catch rate (ninth-lowest), 12.9 yards per catch (just about league average) and 3.94 YAC/reception (a little better than league average). Moreover, the leading target-getter against Seattle this season has hit or topped 14 PPR points in 8 of 12 games. LAST WEEK: Akers notched season-bests in snap rate (72%) and carries (17) with a pair of touchdowns. By my count, Pickett missed five opportunities to throw to Pickens in 1-on-1 coverage including once in the end zone. These have been games without nickel cornerback Avonte Maddox, and most recently without DB C.J. Likely did not catch another pass for the remainder of the contest. An efficient outing in what wound up being a low-scoring game. Mon, Dec 12 at QBs VS BILLS: Have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game. I'd use him over Jerick McKinnon and Kareem Hunt. The Bears have been able to extend their offensive possessions as of late, thus creating more passing opportunities for their top wideout. I would put Hunter Henry ahead of him, however. Rookie QB Kenny Pickett is averaging 203.7 passing yards per game and has only thrown 3 TDs in six starts. Three of the six had over 30 Fantasy points. Moore, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Gabe Davis. For all the Odell Beckham Jr. comps, bear in mind that Beckham was fantasy football's WR32 with a 33rd-ranked 17.1% target share during his Rams tenure, a touchdown-dependent player for our . , Sun, Dec 11 at He showed that he is excellent in yards after contact and had a phenomenal season last year with 1,601 yards and 23 touchdowns. The same thing could happen this week to Collins. Moore, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Gabe Davis. He figures to potentially make mistakes when he's pressured, too (he had four interceptions and three fumbles lost in his five games as the main Ravens QB in 2021). They added two offensive linemen, C.J. He came back from the Achilles injury in what seemed like record time. 1. This isnt a bold call. The Baltimore Ravens are red hot coming off their bye week and are favored by double digits at home. . He averaged only 6 rushing attempts per game and saw his usual 3+ targets just once. Trusting Mac Jones is difficult to do, particularly if his top receiver, Jakobi Meyers, does not play in the game. All that being said, Hill is not getting talked about at all and could be a sleeper this year. RAIDERS: A RB has scored at least one touchdown on them in 5 of their past 6 games, and a RB has totaled 100-plus yards on them in 5 of their past 7 games. 8:20 pm ET O/U 53, PIT -2.5 You should feel more comfortable starting or sitting players based on the information given, and feeling comfortable with your Fantasy lineup before the games start is the best feeling in the world. . Mind you, this was with Zach Wilson at quarterback. at Cincy is a really well-rounded team that is expected to get their star WR, JaMarr Chase, back. Isiah Pacheco was a popular waiver add at RB this week and there is certainly a lot to be optimistic about. Despite the injury, Dotson is still the third most targets Commanders WR on the season. A vintage three-touchdown performance against a league-leading Cowboys defense in Week 9 (QB9) and a QB12 outing against the Titans have managers praising Rodgers' comeback as a must-start quarterback in fantasy. We look for players to avoid in our fantasy football drafts or for which players are going to finally take the next step. March 2020 Fantasy Football Thoughts Disco The Parakeet "the official mascot of SleepersandBusts.com" helps Tom Brady & Rob Gronkowski acclimate to the Buccaneers playbook (press play to start video). Moore, Marquise Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster over Davis in PPR. 4:25 pm ET 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. Singletary played one more snap than Cook, the first time all year they've been this close to even in snaps. The Raiders enter Week 12 as 4.0 point underdogs, suggesting a positive game script with increased passing opportunities should the team be forced to play from behind. The Lions RBs totaled a 29% target share last week against Jacksonville and should be right about there this week too. As a rookie in 2021, Stevenson had seven games with double-digit carries and. Much like his recent decline, Heinickes recurring rise is a strangely predictable and cyclical trend. Moreau has been an every-down player for the Raiders since Week 7 when he took over for Darren Waller. SINGLETARY: Has 13-plus carries in 6 of past 7 and a touchdown in three of his past four. Purdy will now be the 49ers starting QB for the foreseeable future with Jimmy Garoppolo confirmed to be out for the season. WHITE: Would have had 22 Fantasy points last week had Braxton Berrios hung on to a fourth-quarter, fourth-down pass flicked into his chest in the end zone. The only thing Kareem Hunt has going for him right now is his name. He's still startable, but passers with upside like Geno Smith, Kirk Cousins and Jared Goff are preferred. 1 receiver and saw 10 targets. It's a change from earlier this year when he was in the 8-to-9 yard range. Gardner-Johnson. SEAHAWKS: Rank in the top-10 in Fantasy points allowed to wide receivers, which isn't great. THE WEEK BEFORE: Played outstanding against the Vikings' zone-heavy defense, completing 72% of his passes for 382 yards (9.79 yards per attempt) and two scores. HISTORY: Thielen has three career touchdown catches in 16 games against Detroit, and only the one in Week 3 since 2019. Now take a quarterback with underrated rushing ability and put him in a matchup like this and what do you get? Three of the six had over 30 Fantasy points. There will be better weeks for that -- Buffalo's defense will make things tough. Exclusive offer fromCaesars Sportsbook. Perhaps no two words are associated with fantasy football more. - Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts) Wide Receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) "It's rare to find a former 1,400-yard wide receiver playing with one of the best quarterbacks in the league in the. It gets better: Okonkwo leads all qualifying tight ends with a 2.78 yards per route run average, and he has seen a target once every four routes. He had his lowest snap rate since being traded to Miami (37%) and had one 3-yard carry and two catchless targets against the 49ers' impossibly tough run defense. Still, Mostert works as a bye-week replacement RB and non-PPR flex. 94 of those yards came on 3 plays in the final drives of the game. Some are ranked too high, some are ranked too low and others are ready to become household. The Steelers' top wideout enters Week 11 with zero touchdowns to his credit this season, averaging a meager 10.5 PPG (WR41). LIONS: Are improving against the pass and aren't seeing teams chuck it further downfield like they did at the beginning of the season, but they're getting thrown on a lot -- 27.3 targets per game just to receivers in their past three. He had his lowest snap rate since being traded to Miami (37%) and had one 3-yard carry and two catchless targets against the 49ers' impossibly tough run defense. A rusher has posted at least 10 non-PPR Fantasy points in each of their past two. Running backs like Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor and Austin Ekeler are no-brainers as top 2022 Fantasy football picks, but correctly identifying which undervalued 2022 Fantasy football sleepers are poised for a big season can help lead you to a title. One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Patriots wide receiver Nelson Agholor. That seems tough to buy into, which is why he's more of a sleeper than a starter. ), but there should be touchdowns left and right in this matchup. We'll go through every game and highlight the players who aren't obvious starts and sits (because you don't need to be told to start Justin Jefferson). A.J. Against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense which allows the 5th least Points over Average to opposing running backs, Hunt is a must bench. It should create a good situation for Foreman to break some long runs and plop into the end zone when the Panthers get close. Houston is legitimately that bad. The substitute signal-caller always seems to find a way into the fantasy football lexicon as a priority streaming option, bordering QB1 production against soft matchups followed abruptly by vacant stats when confronting above-average defenses. OKONKWO: It's not much, but Okonkwo has five targets in consecutive games. He's had more than 12 PPR points once in those four, which is bad. His receiving corps is deep (not to mention fast), his pass protection is mostly good, he's been playing moderately well of late and he's in a game with potential to be high-scoring. If you want to win your league and bring home a championship this season, you'll need to crush your 2022 Fantasy football rankings. Some of the throws were epic downfield tight-window tosses you wouldn't expect from a former Day 3 pick, but it shouldn't go unnoticed that White was 6 of 17 in the red zone in the half with no touchdowns. 49ERS: Have allowed a receiver to hit 15 PPR Fantasy points 10 times this year. That seems to be the magic number. We know Jones can play well, we all saw it on Thanksgiving. WEEK 3: Thielen scored for the first time in 2022 on the Lions, adding six grabs for 61 yards with it. From my Boom players of Jimmy Garoppolo and Aaron Jones both getting injured to my bust picks of Saquon . Signal-callers have notched 26 or more Fantasy points against them in three of their past four games, and all but four passers have 22 or more this season, including Cousins in Week 3 (260 yards, two touchdowns, no turnovers). It's not to say Mostert's been worse, but there's probably a lean from the Dolphins coaching staff to not put too much on his plate given his track record of injuries. 2 RB ahead of both Buccaneers RBs and Jamaal Williams. CB Stephon Gillmore, who has a 76.2 PFF grade, is likely to face off against Johnson. View him as a low-end starter or a bye-week replacement at best. Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. It helps that his receiving corps is as stocked as ever with Amon-Ra St. Brown thriving, D'Andre Swift's reps increasing, D.J. Fantasy Football is all about the matchups. Not all value is created equal in fantasy football. RAIDERS: A RB has scored at least one touchdown on them in 5 of their past 6 games, and a RB has totaled 100-plus yards on them in 5 of their past 7 games. Expect Knight to once again work as the primary runner for the Jets, giving up third-down work and the hurry-up offense to Ty Johnson. Rodgers has slowly crept his way back into QB1 territory, slotting himself in as a fraud amongst the top options (QB12) despite averaging a lowly 14.7 PPG (QB23). Warner, son of NFL Hall of Fame quarterback Kurt Warner, is looking more and more likely to follow in his fathers footsteps and make it to the league. Broto Fantasys own Themi Michalakis (@GridironGreek) found a glaring discrepancy in the Steelers' defense rooted in a small yet important sample size. Rookie running back TylerAllgeier has great size at 511 220 pounds and has excellent vision. It shouldn't be too hard to envision the Chiefs building a big lead this week, nor should it be too hard to figure Pacheco gets the opportunities to handle running downs before the game is in hand and well after. With the fantasy football draft season upon us, Alex 'Awesemo' Baker brings you his top fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts for the 2022 Fantasy Football Season. The Dolphins called eight run plays and 34 pass plays. LAST WEEK: His start against the Vikings began terribly with a tipped interception, another tipped near-INT, a number of off-target throws and nothing impressive until just before halftime. Expect another rough outing. It's a big part of the Patriots offense, and for at least this week, it should be successful. RAMS: Two of the past three QBs to play them have posted at least 28 Fantasy points (Andy Dalton and Geno Smith; Patrick Mahomes had 19). He just tried more throws downfield in the second half. JONES: Like it or not, Jones is averaging 27.5 pass attempts per game that travel inside of 15 Air Yards. Unlike their last game, I don't expect the Panthers to build a lead and cruise to a victory. LAST WEEK: Finished with 118 total yards in his first start on 20 touches (five receptions). An efficient outing in what wound up being a low-scoring game. RAIDERS: Have missed 31 tackles in their past five games (third-most in that span). I believe Seattle's run defense will struggle with Foreman, just as they've struggled with other good running backs this year. Since taking a hold of a meaningful role in the Chiefs offense starting in Week 10, Pacheco has averaged 4.8 yards per carry with 34.3% of his runs good for five or more yards (tied for 11th-best among all RBs with at least 40 carries). THE WEEK BEFORE THAT: Jones diced up the Jets with an 85.2% completion rate and 9.11 yards per attempt, but didn't throw any touchdowns. RAMS: Opposing teams have averaged 33.75 pass attempts per game against them on the season, and only the Saints have attempted fewer than 37 passes against L.A. in its past five. at SEAHAWKS: In their past four, running backs have specifically picked up 1.68 yards before contact and a whopping 3.56 yards after contact per rush. Diontae Johnson, meanwhile, has eight or more targets in consecutive games. Seriously. A 35.3% target share from Sam Darnold didn't hurt, either. Long-forgotten Broncos castaway Noah Fant currently holds the 2022 record for most receiving yards against the Saints' defense, tallying 49 yards for the Seahawks in Week 5. A 35.3% target share from Sam Darnold didn't hurt, either. The flipside is that he's been invisible (under 30 total yards) in those other two games -- both losses by 10-plus points. He picked up 105 rushing yards on 22 carries, averaging nearly 5 yards per carry as the Buccaneers went on to win the game in Germany. HISTORY: Totaled three touchdowns against the Jets in two 2021 games, hasn't scored on them otherwise and has one career game with 100 total yards. View him as a low-end starter or a bye-week replacement at best. He struggled otherwise against the Bills, Cowboys and Jets, three very good defenses. This places Pacheco in a much better spot than Mckinnon but both can find success in their separate roles. Pacheco may not be in the long-term plans as a 7th round pick, despite his talent, but he is becoming the lead RB in the short-term. Both catches were in tight coverage. And, we've already seen two games from Prescott this season where he's played fine but didn't deliver huge Fantasy points (Week 7 vs. Detroit, Week 12 vs. the Giants, and even Week 13 vs. the Colts wasn't great). True Value Report Week 12 - A True Value Thanksgiving, True Value Report Week 14 - Lowkey League Winners, True Value Report Week 13 - Keeping it a Buckeye, Week 13 Devy Dives: College Players to Watch - Rivalry Week Special. GOFF: Has thrown two touchdowns in consecutive games, getting pretty good passing volume in each (35-plus attempts including the blowout win last week). He has not scored a single TD this season. As talented as A.J. Fun fact: In their past three games the Jets have given up a league-best 0.86 YAC/reception to receivers on throws of 12-plus yards. His PPR production in those games: 15, 9, 10, 12. I think just about everyone from the Lions/Vikings game is worth a play, so pick your poison. He almost never seems to take a loss on his runs (six carries of zero/negative yards in his past four) and has a knack for picking up numbers after contact (2.90 yards after contact per rush in his past four). Cincy's allowed only 11 passing touchdowns this season and ranks top-five in completion rate against at 63.7%. RAIDERS: Carr's been playing great okay, fine, Davante Adams has been playing great. Cincy's allowed only 11 passing touchdowns this season and ranks top-five in completion rate against at 63.7%. Get aRisk Free Betof up to $5,000 with your first deposit. HISTORY: Only has one amazing game out of three against the Vikings while with the Lions (Week 13 last year), but he has attempted at least 35 passes in each meeting and has at least 275 yards in each of his past two. With the Falcons releasing Mike Davisit provides an opportunity for a significant role in the offense right away with only a 31-year-old Cordarrelle Patterson as any serious competition and it was reported that Patterson could be used more at wide receiver. Since playing over 50% of snaps for the first time in Week 4, Slayton has recorded 50 or more yards in five straight games and six of eight weeks overall. O/U 45.5, DAL -17 Specifically, they rank bottom-five in short passes attempted against per game (32.3), catch rate allowed (76.2%), defensive pass EPA per dropback (-0.17), yards per catch allowed (6.98 - remember, it's only on short throws), and YAC/reception (6.16). 9:20 pm ET, LV -6 It's a trend that we've seen happen almost every single time Evans has had a low-target game since Brady's arrived in Tampa. Nov 25, 2022 True Value Report Week 12 - A True Value Thanksgiving A high-volume role as the Lions' lead wideout has helped St. Brown translate his low depth of target into game-altering production. Since then, he has seen a consistent drop in both carries and snap percentage. Uzomah, Breece Hall, and Garrett Wilsonto go along withCorey DavisandElijah Moorefrom last year. I'd rather start Josh Palmer, Marquise Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Nico Collins. Every year we try to determine which players are going to be sleepers, breakouts, and busts. O/U 37, TEN -4 section: | slug: fantasy-football-week-14-lineup-decisions-starts-sits-sleepers-and-busts-to-know-for-every-game | sport: football | route: article_single_fantasy | The Titans' fourth-round pick, Chigoziem "Chig" Okonkwo, broke out in his final season at Maryland after missing pretty much all of his junior year. O/U 44.5, BUF -9.5 So it does not appear that he is involved much in the passing game. SEAHAWKS: Rank in the top-10 in Fantasy points allowed to wide receivers, which isn't great. Managers continue to hold out hope for Johnson as his 26.1% target share (WR16) and 25.2% target rate (WR25) suggest the veteran wideout still possesses an elite ability to earn opportunities. All three stats rank in the bottom quadrant of the league, and it's been a consistent problem all year. Brown is he only finished top 20 once in PPR in this offense. This is an offense that cant possibly support all of the incredible weapons it boasts. There's no doubt the Lions defense is getting better, but offenses are still throwing downfield on them even though the squad is getting well north of a 30% pressure rate pretty much every week. . DAVIS: Remains the downfield threat for the Bills passing game -- his ADOT has been north of 12.2 yards in all but two games this year, and 45% of his routes run have been 10 or fewer yards from the line of scrimmage. HISTORY: Davis has never scored on the Bills and has one game out of six with more than 39 yards (3-105-0 at the Jets last November). More Fantasy Football Analysis. The Bengals tight end is averaging 8.9 PPG (TE13) this season, exceeding double-digit fantasy points only once in his last four contests. . You'll have to hope he finds a touchdown, which is the case every week for him, but this time he's playing a team that's allowed a LOT of touchdowns to tight ends. The Falcons defense gives up 20.7 fantasy PPG to quarterbacks, ranked fifth in True Matchup Rank with a Points Over Average of 25.8%. If he had fallen into the endzone, he would have finished as an RB1. Jets #17 Age: 22 Experience: Rookie Wilson was the second wide receiver drafted and the No. They might be a little more susceptible to perimeter wideouts with cornerback Anthony Brown injured; Trevon Diggs has mostly stuck to one side of the field this season but did follow Michael Pittman when he lined up wide after Brown's injury last week. Sun, Dec 11 at LAST WEEK: The Bills revealed a formation where Nyheim Hines ran in motion with Cook in the backfield. . BILLS: Jared Goff and Jacoby Brissett became the second and third QBs to notch over 20 Fantasy points against them in 2022, and it came in the past three weeks. He has a great release against press coverage, great hands, and speed and quickness. RAMS: The matchup is real good -- a tight end has at least 10 half-PPR points against L.A. in five of its past six. However, his interception came when he was pressured and he tried to chuck the ball out of bounds and didn't put enough into it. 8:15 pm ET Wilson is a stronger Fantasy option who I'd call a No. I expect Watson to be less rusty, but it's still a treacherous matchup. However, his interception came when he was pressured and he tried to chuck the ball out of bounds and didn't put enough into it. I'd start him over Kirk Cousins, Tom Brady and Mike White. 100% Ad Free Display ads ejected from the app No fluff, no ads Just fantasy sports And, Moreau has scored just twice this season. Brady's been firing to the tune of 43.7 pass attempts per game this season and should hit that number on Sunday. And, 7 of 8 rushers with at least 14 carries have put up at least 11 non-PPR Fantasy points against them. 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