. He failed to complete a single pass down the middle of the field, going 0-for-2 with an interception. not "he's one of the best QBs in the league!". And if you're wondering why the best receivers were so lukewarm this week, I'll refer you to the first of these player tables, where outside of Miami there was hardly a good passer to be found. In reply to And that spectrum is by theslothook. The . And it hurt his team. The interview done with Greg Cosell of NFL Films about The Games That Changed the Game was just too good and too long to fit in the book review, so here's the interview in its entirety. What If Justin Herbert Isn't All That Great? we hope to have you around! Hurts by Aaron Brooks G, Maybe I spend too much time around here vs "mainstream" football media, but the narrative around Hurts seems more "he's improved from an afterthought to pretty good!" I think it says something about the state of the AFC South that the Titans can probably start a running back at QB and still manage to win the division. Strange has fallen off a cliff the past two weeks with Andrews out. Will Georgia's Balanced Attack Win Another Championship? I mean, my second- oldest brother, Soda, who is sixteen-going-on- seventeen, never cracks a book at all, and my oldest brother, Darrel, who we call Darry, works too long and hard to be interested in a story or drawing a, picture, so I'm not like them. Help P-F-R Identify Historical Teams Offensive & Defensive Schemes. Tom Gower reviews Jeff Duncan's new book on the Payton-Brees relationship and finds insightful revelations about what makes the duo -- particularly Payton -- so effective. Hurts last year was seen as having substantially improved on a team not much better than the 4-11-1 mess he was on as a rookie. But OPY is on the table right now. Murray threw 10 failed completions, tied for most in the league this week. The end of the Almanac includes an Acknowledgments section. In those 10 minutes, he went 2-of-9 for 11 yards with a sack. It seems like Mac wants to read deep to short, whereas Zappe reads short to deep. There has been quite a rushing resurgence around the league in 2022. He was the week's worst passer in the third quarter, when he went 1-of-7 with an interception; that one completion was a 3-yard gain on third-and-10. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, KUBIAK fantasy football projections with over 500 player profiles, and breakdowns of the top 50 . That's as solid a brain trust as you're going to find outside of Baltimore or 80s 49ers, In reply to I think this comment is a by theslothook. Once Manning left, the Colts immediately fell into that power dynamic issue with Caldwell being tossed. They might be in first after this week, if the unimaginable happens with the Vikings beating the Bills. I hate doing this, because you can do it with literally any play in any game, but: The touchdown was worth 39 DYAR for Heinicke. In reply to When we took the best WR in by Aaron Brooks G. I'm not really worried about how bad the defense gets (temporarilyI want to see some improvement starting next year) because they were going to decline no matter what. Football Outsiders ( FO) is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. Thanks. And, really, to a great extent Tua's time missed is partly his own fault. In reply to How to find the digital edition? Is he closer to Goff or is he closer to Wilson or perhaps even better than that? In Chapter 2, on the day of Frank. The NFL as a whole is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, which would be an all-time record, and the average team is running for over 120 yards per game for the first time since 1988. Cousins was the week's worst passer from under center (6-of-9 for 32 yards, with three completions that lost yardage and a sack) and on throws to receivers at or behind the line of scrimmage (4-of-9 for a net LOSS of 8 yards, with no completions that actually gained yardage), but the best on throws to his left (7-of-8 for 138 yards and a touchdown, plus a 14-yard DPI). But his average completion gained 8.0 yards after the catch, most of anyone who completed 10 or more passes. It's somehow dumber than the Texans attempting to make McCown their new HC the last few years. It's the same projections so if the scoring system is the same, the rankings should be the same. That includes conversions on five of his six carries on third down, the longest a 36-yard touchdown. Irsay is officially off the reservation. In reply to Mahomes has a higher net by Aaron Brooks G. Mixon finishes with 92 rushing DYAR, 37 receiving DYAR, and a total of 129 combined DYARand that's without recording a single carry or target in the fourth quarter of Cincinnati's 42-21 win. Sadly for Fields, Tua Tagovailoa was once again the top overall quarterback in Quick Reads this week, and his Dolphins beat Fields' Bears 35-32. (2017 was with Alex Smith). ), it typically takes a few extra days to make it to the international markets. based on questions of intrinsic value and have always been about numbers. by James-London. I am starting to think that toughness may be one of the most underrated traits of a QB. Rodgers loses a league-high 59 DYAR due to opponent adjustments. Hinton's classic story of a boy who finds himself on the outskirts of regular society remains as powerful today as it was the day it was first published. Tua got to miss the Jets game, who are the 3rd best defense the Dolphins have played. : #MIAvsCHI on CBS pic.twitter.com/jFMAg0BeH7, Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 6, 2022, RotoRadar (@RotoRadar) November 6, 2022, JOE MIXON HAS FOUR FIRST HALF TOUCHDOWNSpic.twitter.com/fMDwimo7TC, PointsBet Sportsbook (@PointsBetUSA) November 6, 2022, for whoever is going against him in fantasy pic.twitter.com/E7C2STwAQR, 102 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2022, 8:15am. The Saints are trying to win the NFC South with a TE at QB. Throwing into triple coverage is a good indication that one has crossed the line from aggressive to foolish. like having someone read your book over your shoulder. Context matters. Answers eBookLobby is a free source of eBooks from different categories like, computer, arts, education and business. Thanks for suggestions, we'll definitely be working on ways to improve the digital edition in the future. But dont confuse this for charity post: the FOA is a great guide, and Im sure anyone who buys it will be very happy. Jones didn't have a lot of luck on second downs, when he went 9-of-12 for 38 yards with one sack and only one first down: a 3-yard touchdown to Rhamondre Stevenson. In reply to When was the last time a by theslothook. Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 book. Testimonials from contemporary players like Nick Mangold carry the new book from legendary coach Howard Mudd, which takes you inside an offensive line meeting room. Doug Farrar reviews the new pro football strategy book by Ron Jaworski and Greg Cosell, with a little help from one of the authors. Tua has more DYAR than Mahomes despite 120 fewer pass attempts, and FWIW Tuaalso has a slightly higher PFF grade than Mahomes. Free shipping. Mariota's average throw traveled 14.9 yards downfield, most in the NFL this week by over 2 full yards. He had a very bad day as a passer inside the Jets 40, going 2-of-6 for 8 yards with one interception, one sack, and zero touchdowns. But for the most part, he's given the braintrust a good amount of time to execute their vision. Philly had an solid organizational structure, but the power dynamic behind "who's really responsible for the offense" blew things up, and with Manning on a team, that entire power dynamic is just missing. The Colts are considered a complete joke and they are 2nd!!!!! Well, with the bye week hopefully David Andrews will be able to return. Poor Sam. That's a 9.6-yard average, which is underwhelming when compared to The Best QB Rushing Games of the Last Four Decades, but seven of those carries gained first downs, and he also had a 9-yard gain on first-and-10; by success rate, he was even more reliable than Fields. Full previews for all 32 NFL teams and the top 50 projected NCAA teams, plus over 500 player comments andKUBIAK fantasy football projections are all included. He's up to .500! Football Outsiders Almanac 2021: The Essential Guide to the 2021 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Klassen, Derrik, Knowles, Bryan, McCown, Rivers, Pizzuta, Dan, Potter, Andrew, Tanier, Mike, Verhei, Vincent, Weintraub, Robert, Yedor, Carl: 9798534032932: Amazon.com: Books Books Reference Encyclopedias & Subject Guides Buy new: I mean,lessthan zippo. You think Cptn Quirk can out-DYAR Case Keenum? Even though it was a touchdown even the Commanders radio call of the game were like "why would you throw that?" It's tough to decide which other NFL team is as reliant on their starting QB playing great than Buffalo. I think if Tua lands first across the board on the advanced metrics, he should win; the standings be damned. In reply to Realistically, he's a by Noahrk. Goff is in that spectrum. He only completed one of his seven deep balls, and even that one completiona 19-yard gain on first-and-20failed to pick up a first down. Correlations are between projected and actual win percentages. Honestly, it's not unknown for QB to have one year where they do waaay better than their baseline due to everything comming together. Glad to see that Cousins outdueled Heinicke, giving The Kirkster his 3rd DYAR victory over opposing qbs this season. Brandin Cooks went from Drew Brees to Tom Brady to Jared Goff to Deshaun Watson to Davis Mills, and you'd never know from his stats. I'm just really doubtful that the negative narrative on Tua makes as much sense as people are making it out to. Inside his own 20-yard line, he went 2-of-7 for only 8 yards. MVP isn't about who's "better" but who has had the best season, and Tua is certainly in the discussion there. We've literally never seen Mahomes with a bad set of receivers: Kelce was already an All Pro when Mahomes got there. His average completion gained 12.4 yards after the catch, most of any qualified passer this week, but well, there were only five of them. (Colin Kaepernick's 181 rushing yards against Green Bay in the 2012 playoffs remains untouched.) Taylor Heinicke's numbers are bad but how bad would they have been if that long touchdown to Samuel had been picked, like it likely would have been had the back judge not collided with Cam Bynum as he was tracking down the ball? Yeah it's greatly his fault he was hit, unlike other QBs. He picked up three first downs and 82 yards on his first five dropbacks, but then didn't pick up another first down for the rest of the game, going 2-of-11 for a loss of 2 yards, and that's before accounting for his three sacks that lost 23 more yards. They could have very easily focused resources on the offense to help lift Fields up, and now he would be lifting up those additions with his recent level of play. I do think that Fields' recent play helped nudge them to trade Quinn and Smith, as I don't think most fans really care about losing shootouts if Fields is a highlight reel and they get the bonus of staying high in the draft next year. In Va. As for the latter part of the proposition, we are talking about Jimmy Irsay here. That's why I think he's taking good players like Hill, Waddle and, yes, Tua and he's making them look even better. But that is boring. It's strange. The Outsiders is a coming-of-age novel by S.E. It was Rodgers' first three-interception game since Week 5 of 2017, and he has already thrown seven this season, the most he has thrown since 2016. In reply to But then, Hill is playing by Aaron Brooks G. In reply to Context matters. It's not that the contrast between the starter and the replacement decides MVP, it's that looking at how a replacement performed can help give a little insight into the relative responsibility of the various players for the team performance. Of course, Fields is not the only quarterback from Week 9 of 2022 in that table. His three catches: 10-yard gain on third-and-15; 1-yard gain on second-and-10; no gain and a fumble (recovered by New England) on first-and-10. Football Outsiders provides revolutionary, in-depth statistics you can't find anywhere else! With a couple weeks of training camp in the books league-wide, various outlets are laying out their predictions for the 32 teams. In reply to I think Jim's drugs of by Kaepernicus. Then there is Josh Allen's elbow. In Chapter 1 , two black boys head for home when they see an unmarked police car headed for Estelle Barga Recreational Park. In reply to By precisely which measures by takeleavebelieve. and has seen what a good coaching staff and organization looks like. Thirty One Nil : On the Road with Football's Outsiders, a World C. $127.00. If he keeps up his current level of play over the second half of the season, he certainly deserves consideration for MVP (especially with the Bills and Chiefs looking suddenly mortal and no single player really standing out in the NFC). Football Outsiders Almanac 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 NFL and College Football Seasons Kindle Edition by Aaron Schatz (Author), Bill Connelly (Author), & 12 more Format: Kindle Edition 25 ratings See all formats and editions Kindle $10.80 Read with Our Free App Paperback $10.80 8 Used from $4.95 5 New from $9.20 That led to a complete disintegration of the coaching staff, and led to the owner hiring someone from the coaching tree of the guy who hedidwant to credit for the Super Bowl win (Reich). It represents a moment of suspension before the batteries are recharged for the new millennium, an acknowledgment that preceding the future is a strange and hybrid interregnum that might be called the last gasp of the past.Gilbert Adair, British author, critic. I'm not saying Poles and company are beyond reproach but so far there's no move that I can point to and say "clearly these guys are idiots" like I could with the previous regime. One question; how much DYAR did Heinicke get, when the zebra threw a block on a Viking safety poised for an int., so Heinicke could get a 49 yard td pass? Dallas, TX. Regardless, he was the week's worst passer on throws to running backs (6-of-7 for 45 yards with a pick-six) and out of a no-huddle (3-of-5 for 1 yard, singular, with zero successful plays). Each of Hill's seven completions gained a first down, and aside from his 3-yard touchdown, all of them gained at least 16 yards. Also, he's competing with Waddle, which is not nothing. The defense looked decent against Trey Lance, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones/Tyrod Taylor, Carson Wentz, and Mac Jones/Bailey Zappe. Carr's 38-yard touchdown pass to Davante Adams put Las Vegas up 17-0 less than 20 minutes into the game. The site is run by a staff of regular writers, who produce a series of weekly columns using both the site's in-house statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games. He has basically only played 1.5 games - Minnesota and a little more than a half against Cincinnati. Looking at the pfref on target rate stats he has dropped from 76% to 57% this year . Which I'm not ready to rule out, when she if they get healthier. In reply to May as well just use this as by Vincent Verhei. This looks like a tank move and the roster is still constructed to win now. Football Outsiders - Books. He's the first quarterback to throw three interceptions against the Lions since Kyler Murray in Week 3 of 2020. At some point in the offseason he started hedging his bets, saying of course Tua would do better. The Miami offense looked so different without Tua. In the Intro (in the PDF), there's a bunch of oddly hyphenated words (ex-panded, interfer-ence,finan-cial, etc.). But he may not get the counting stats others do for OPOTY (and let's give it to a non QB). 'The Outsiders changed young-adult fiction from a . As reading becomes more and more habitual and widespread, an ever-increasing number of people will discover that books will give them all the pleasures of social life and none of its intolerable tedium.Aldous Huxley (18941963). Not until and unless the defense rights the ship. Everyone talks about availability being the greatest ability but I think there is something to being able to play at a high level while banged up. Mike Pereira's new book details his early days as an Alaskan baseball player, his bout with cancer, and his career as the NFL's Supervisor of Officials -- and the changes he would make to improve the game. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter. Mahomes was the week's best passer on third/fourth downs, going 9-of-15 for 128 yards with seven conversions, including a touchdown, plus two sacks. Kindle $5.39. When you watch his film inverting the vertical he looks like a completely different player. Player tracking data has Brown as literally the best WR in the league over the past 4 years (well, behind the salary cap accounting trick known as Michael Thomas). But geez, the AFC South is a tragedy. (Or it shouldn't be.). Mac's only potentially elite trait is his accuracy/touch. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. Miami also has a higher passing DVOA than KC, which includes 2.5 games of Bridgewater and Thompson. Nobody should be discussing whether Tua is better than Mahomes, and MVP has a strong team success requirement the Dolphins are not likely to meet. by timtellean. Football Outsiders Almanac 2022: The Essential Guide to the 2022 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Acosta, J.P., Clinton, Cale, Klassen, Derrik, Knowles, Bryan, McCown, Rivers, Pizzuta, Dan, Tanier, Mike, Verhei, Vincent, Weintraub, Robert: 9798840151822: Amazon.com: Books Skip to main content Hello Select your address Books He was also the week's worst passer on throws to tight ends (9-of-11 for 89 yards and two interceptions) and down the middle of the field (6-of-11 for 59 yards with two interceptions). You can now read theFO Almanacteam chapters as online articles, or you can download the entire PDF version to read including the college previews and the player comments with KUBIAK projections. 2013 Nfhs Ihsa Exam Answers - delapac.com File Type PDF 2013 Nfhs Soccer Rules Exam Answers NFHS 2013-14 SOCCER EXAM PART 2 (ANSWERS) 2013 NFHS High. With that kind of efficiency on the ground, the Bengals didn't need to throw often against the Panthers but when they did, they often threw to Mixon. How Philadelphia Eagles Took the Fight to Tennessee Titans FO + All-32: Michael Gallup Set for Big Game Against Colts How Bengals Beat Titans at Their Own Game More Film Study Latest News from Around the League In reply to He had WR2s in KC, too. Trying to hire McCown is fairly standard NFL dumb - hire the way underqualified guy because the owner likes him / he's a "good guy". You're corny. Hiring Saturday is like something out of the 1920s barnstorming NFL days. But Coach Nerd-Glasses doesnt believe in using TEs, so hes getting like 60% of the old Kelce targets. They can barely hold off one game. In reply to Open discussion thread? Week 13 Staff Picks: Is Chris Olave Best Bet for OROY? In between those two stuffs, Mixon carried the ball a dozen times, picking up 96 yards and seven more first downs. It's like an Al Davis on cocaine move. Rob Weintraub's tears dripping on the Steelers chapternever gets old. His median carry was an 11-yard gain. digital only available for FO+ subscribers ? It's somehow dumber than the Texans attempting to make McCown their new HC the last few years. Great to have the new version out, but the navigation link to the digital download is not working and trying to access it through My Profile prompts me to subscribe again even though I'm already a + Subscriber. I completely agree, but I do thank you for going ahead and running the numbers for such a unique play. Fields was tremendous as a passer in Dolphins territory (7-of-8 for 72 yards and three touchdowns, plus a 28-yard DPI), but struggled as a passer on his own side of the 50. But by Aaron Brooks G. There is something between Tua is MVP and TUA is horrible and being carried by the supporting cast. His two receptions were a 7-yard gain on second-and-17 and a 3-yard gain (with a fumble, recovered by Green Bay) on third-and-5. by ImNewAroundThe. As they say, availability is also important. i'm a 15-yr buyer of almanac but first-time buyer of kubiak (thanks to fo+)silly question: why are there big ranking differences between the two? We have gotten so numb to QB rushing totals that this record-breaking performance has largely flown under the radar. Whether or not he misses some time is still up in the air, though. Just like Al Davis was for the Raiders. Of course by Noahrk. In reply to The biggest news of the by colonialbob. Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. He finished with five targets, catching four of them for 58 yards and three first downs: a 35-yard gain on first-and-10, a 3-yard gain on second-and-2, and a 12-yard touchdown on third-and-10. Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes could all have a say in this race. Everyone's excited about how Fields has taken off the last three weeks, but my question is what took them so long to include the designed runs as part of their offense. Mac Jones is the most confusing to me from the 2021 class. In reply to I think it says something by theslothook. Can I sign up for a month for 9.99, download the almanac, then cancel my subscription, and still have access to the almanac? Envos gratis en el da Compra online de manera segura con Compra Protegida The Barcelona Complex: Lionel Messi And The Making--and Unma "Rodgers loses a league-high 59 DYAR due to opponent adjustments", Sam Ehlinger -172 DYAR "Ehlinger gains 54 DYAR". Did NE cut down the RPO/PA heavy system they had last year after the coordinator swap? In the limited games I have watched with him he seems to have great accuracy and poor timing. He had all day to throw against the Bears and still somehow managed to under throw receivers. Free shipping. Former All Pac-10 Tackle If you enjoy my work here, youll probably enjoy reading what I wrote about those three teams. As long as the Eagles keep winning, Jalen Hurts will be the leader in the MVP race. Once the book is available on Amazon-US (later this week! But like, he's undeniably had one of the best QB seasons thus far and deserves to be in the conversation for an award which effectively recognizes the best QB seasons. Doug Farrar reviews the new pro football strategy book by Ron Jaworski and Greg Cosell, with a little help from one of the authors. As for PFF, we're trying to have a serious conversation here. Not right now, but the last five years of data for each team are published in Football Outsiders Almanac. Reich left, and the offense struggled afterwards: when Pederson tried to switch away from Wentz, there was backlash because the owner didn't trust that Pederson was actually the important piece of the '17 Super Bowl win. While we allow for international sales, the availabilityis really in the hands of Amazon through their operationsand logistics side. He also gained 8 yards on a DPI. His only run was a 5-yard loss on an aborted snap. Mayfield came into this game with Carolina trailing 35-0 in the third quarter. In reply to Hard Copy in the UK? The print edition ofFootball Outsiders Almanac 2021should be available on Amazon.com by the end of the week and will cost $29.99. by Swjeppe. Preseason football, but real football nonetheless. If you need more help with theAlmanacor FO+, please visit theFootball Outsiders Help Centeror e-mail us at fo-support@edjsports.com. I'm cautiously optimistic. On Page xvi, Pythagorean Projection, Daryl Morey is no longer general manager of the Houston Rockets. Football Outsiders has been a supporter of Chase Stuart for a while and Football Perspective from the beginning. I would expect nothing but throws to Diggs out of Keenum in this offense. Ponyboy and his two brothers Darrel (Darry), who is 20, and Sodapop, who is 16 have recently lost their parents in an automobile accident. ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews), Despite a crummy rushing day (two carries for zero yards, with a fumble) Tagovailoa finishes as our top-ranked quarterback, the third time in his seven Quick Reads appearances this year that he has ranked first or second. In reply to Maybe someone else. One way to solve this to just hold off on QB proclamations until they've had a number of years to show who they are. Fields made it obvious he could do that in college against Clemson in the CFP and it seems to be translating to the NFL. Thirteen of Fields' 15 carries picked up first downs, including seven conversions in eight carries on third or fourth down. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. Hinton was 18 when the book was published. Do I understand correctly that the digital version is only available for FO+ subscribers ? You literally had an entire power dynamic (playcaller/quarterback) which was missing. don't get me wrong they were delighted, but they still couldn't believe that he decided to throw there. In previous years I've downloaded the PDF, and I was pleasantly surprised that readers can comment on the pages for each team in the digital edition. He may actually be tough/talented/smart enough to overcome his horrendous awareness and turn into an above average starter. I mean, maybe, but it was literally one week ago to the day that he was saying the Dolphins should balk at handing him a long-term contract. We're. I mean, Mike Tanier's opinion on Tua issuper-low, for instance, and that makes zippo sense to me. He was the week's best passer out of the no-huddle, going 15-of-20 for 112 yards, plus two DPIs for 38 more yards. Football Outsiders provides revolutionary, in-depth statistics you can't find anywhere else! In reply to Where has this sudden by Kaepernicus. Which is possible. However, if by some chance you dont know of them, or maybe you havent heard about their outstanding annual book, they now have copies of the 2013 Football Outsiders Almanac available for purchase. But then, Hill is playing better than he ever did with Mahomes. The Outsiders S. E. Hinton Penguin, May 15, 2012 - Young Adult Fiction - 208 pages 239 Reviews Reviews aren't verified, but Google checks for and removes fake content when it's identified 50. Hi, is there an FO sub that gives access to all prior season's AGL stats? And an MVP with Tyreek. Will Georgia's Balanced Attack Win Another Championship? He's basically played as many good defenses as Tua, but has gotten three fewer games against bad ones. In reply to Should be soon! The Chiefs only stuffed Henry twice while allowing him to run for five first downs, including gains of 24 and 56 yards. It's also nice for skipping to a particular team, since the PDF is large enough that it can be cumbersome to load and then navigate (though the bookmarks help!). Detroit Lions Receivers Key to Daily Fantasy. It is interesting to observe that Tua was struggling (or being asked to do little) in the games in which he was hurt, and Bridgewater did better against Cincinnati than Tua did. Thats because Ive moved over to the Contributors section. This is the most insane coaching change I have ever seen. Either way Mac does not have the arm talent to be this inaccurate and continue starting in the NFL. What you've got is a terrific "minimum viable product" for the digital edition! In reply to I'm not insulting either by Pat. That's what I'm talking about. which allows you to download from the tons of books that they feature. In reply to Tua is #1 in PFF's metric, by fyo, when he folds in January. That's OK, though, because he could always do things like this: Lawrence loses 48 DYAR to opponent adjustments. Would have to wait till next year to see if Tua is gonna be awesome going forward or this is career year. In reply to Further proof by ImNewAroundThe. Teddy Bridgewater's shortcomings don't make a good MVP case for Tua. https://t.co/NkEdOUPmeJ, Vincent Verhei (@FO_VVerhei) November 7, 2022. Third Down Performance: How Much Is A 3rd Down Worth. In reply to I don't think Tanier's by Noahrk, I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. The Chicago scrambler's raw totals against Miami15 carries, 178 yards, an 11.9-yard average, and one touchdownare impressive enough. I've got a few suggested improvements I hope we can look forward to in future digital editions: In reply to Is the digital edition new? by dmb. The book is jam-packed with their signature data (including game-charting stats), plus their usual stat-geeky essays, team and player perviews, and 2013 projections. It's tough to decide which other NFL team is as reliant on their starting QB playing great than Buffalo. "The Outsiders transformed young-adult. Stafford gains 39 DYAR due to opponent adjustments. If youre reading this blog, chances are you already know all about our friends at Football Outsiders and the terrific analysis they provide every year. Football Outsiders Almanac 2015. Read reviews from world's largest community for readers. "it's all the receiver, except that receiver didn't really make Bridgewater look very good at all." After years and years of the reverse, don't bears fans want to enjoy good offense even if it came through a monkey's paw tradeoff? Though he is not among the top 20 quarterbacks in total passing plays, he has now overtaken Patrick Mahomes for the season lead in passing DYAR and has a DVOA of 50.5%. His pressure rate has not gone up much and somehow his on target rate has fallen below Trey Lance. Seeing the CHI coaching staff lean into Fields strengths has been pretty incredible. Whatever other ups and downs the Bears and Bills have seen this year, they have been able to count on Fields and Allen to make plays with their legs; after Sunday's games, the two quarterbacks rank first and second at the position in rushing DYAR this season (though Lamar Jackson is in third place and could pass one or both of them with a big game on Monday night). The Cardinals' offense will aim to surpass the Football Outsiders projections in 2021. Because MVP voters think QBWinz is the best stat. In reply to Tua will fail in January by anthonytwotimes. He attempted two passes against Buffalo. Also, one trend I might be seeing in the Vikings over the past couple weeks is improvement in pass defense, so I wanted some feel for how that oddball play may have had on the metrics in a small sample. It's pretty unlikely he'll need TJ surgery. Smith's average pass traveled only 3.0 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, shortest in the NFL in Week 9. I'm different that way. In reply to Playing Chicago by Otis Taylor89, The defense probably wasn't good to begin with and now it is abysmal. What a crazy week of football. These certainly have less value than the team essays in a digital edition, since the content outside single-team sections -- or a reasonable substitute for it -- is often available elsewhere on the site. Josh Allen also qualifies for his nine-carry, 86-yard, two-touchdown day against the Jets. Hover to zoom. Playing Chicago before the trades vs. post trades are playing against two completely different teams. Brady threw 10 failed completions, tied for most in the league this week. In reply to As for the latter part of by Will Allen, Yeah, Ive defended Jimmy around these parts before, but Ive got nothing for the Saturday hiring. I think in time it will become clear that McDaniel is a really, really good coach. And, really, to a great extent Tua's time missed is partly his own fault. The offensive projection is for -8.8% DVOA ranking 28th in the league. If he is out for 2-4 weeks they might be chasing a wildcard spot because of the strength of the AFC East and their poor division record. Fields is currently getting a boost of 2 rushing DYAR for playing the Dolphins, but opponent adjustments can and will fluctuate, and he could easily find himself at the top of this table when all is said and done. He has turned things around since then, however, making our top five in Week 4 and Week 6. I have been trying really hard to find a dumber move. I agree with you. That's more value on the ground than Kaepernick, Daunte Culpepper, Robert Griffin, Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Steve McNair, Donovan McNabb, Steve Young, or Randall Cunningham ever had in a game. Save 10% & Support the Writers Support Football Outsiders' independent media. I suppose maybe McCown did it or maybe when Trubisky threw for 6 tds. That 49ers Bears game was played on a field that more resembled late-November FedEx Field than an NFL playing surface. You can also use the site search feature and look for "Football Outsiders adjusted games lost 2019" (or whichever year you're looking for) to see the articles we have written in the past. ", This is the kind of typo that gives Rams fans the night terrors. You had a head coach that could focus entirely on one side and not even have toreviewthe success of the other side. The worst part about the choice was all the people they decided not to move at the trade deadline. Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? And that spectrum is ginormous. Football Outsiders is a data-driven football site that doesn't adhere to typical narratives about teams. The book details the conflict between two rival gangs divided by their socioeconomic status: the working-class "greasers . This makes it seem like the struggles are tied to scheme more than anything. He also gained 32 more yards and another first down on a DPI. Books. If the Colts were in any division other than the NFC/AFC South they would be staring down 2-3 years of purgatory. ), "Real" / sortable tables (rather than images). In reply to and has seen what a good by Pat. Captain Quirk now hasfourDYAR victories: Rodgers, Goff, Fields and Heinicke. In reply to I hate doing this, because by Vincent Verhei. I can't help but wonder what will happen when he has better talent around him (line and receivers, specifically). S. E. Hinton's traditional story of a boy who discovers himself on the outskirts of regular society remains as powerful today since it was the day it was initial published. And while the Bills, Bengals, and Bears could hardly be more different in our playoff odds (Buffalo remains our favorites to win the AFC, Cincinnati has a 50-50 chance to make the playoffs, and Chicago will likely be drafting in the top 10), in about three hours on Sunday afternoon, they each produced some of the best rushing performances we have ever seen. And its not just the NFL, as Football Outsiders has some pretty sharp minds (Matt Hinton, Bill Connelly, Brian Fremeau) covering the college game, too. Maybe, but it's harder to maintain quality with higher volume. Football Outsiders Almanac 2020: The Essential Guide to the 2020 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Verhei, Vincent, Spratt, Scott, Tanier, Mike, Knowles, Bryan, Klassen, Derrik, McCown, Rivers, Weintraub, Robert, Bassinger, Thomas, Potter, Andrew: 9798666296882: Amazon.com: Books Books Reference Encyclopedias & Subject Guides We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. You saw this in both Indy and in Denver. In reply to Sure I agree. We're happy to announce that theFootball Outsiders Almanac 2021, Digital Editionis now available! I used to be baffled by how divided opinions were on Tua, but now I believe it's got a lot to do with him being a lefty. Thirty-One Nil: The Amazing Story of World Cup Qualification by Montague, James. He was the week's best passer in the red zone (4-of-5 for 42 yards and two touchdowns). There is no way they get the same value for Nelson/Buckner in the off-season. And that one successful play was a 5-yard gain on second-and-8Walker failed to throw for a single first down. In reply to "it's all the receiver, by colonialbob, One way to solve this to just hold off on QB proclamations until they've had a number of years to show who they are. That combined DYAR total is among the best we have ever recorded, and the most since Indianapolis' Joseph Addai had 145 against the Eagles in 2006. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter, and Cincinnati's lead had grown to 42-7. Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Of course players look better when they have better teammates.But then, Hill is playing better than he ever did with Mahomes. Is the digital edition new? Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. Definitely could have chosen to phrase that differently. Hinton The Outsiders Quotes Want to Read Rate this book 1 of 5 stars 2 of 5 stars 3 of 5 stars 4 of 5 stars 5 of 5 stars The Outsiders by S.E. The last time that happened, the Bears ownership went nuts and went out and hired John Fox shortly after. Tua wont win MVP, but the reality is a lot closer than youre suggesting. I mean Zappe was significantly more accurate and was generating an extra yard of YAC with the same weapons for roughly 3 games. And then Mixon took the field against Carolina and chose violence. In possibly related news, he was the week's worst passer on throws to backs and tight ends, going 5-of-10 for 10 yards with an interception. We may just be watching the decline in real time. Good luck, Mr. Saturday. Schatz is also the lead writer, editor, and statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac and writes for ESPN.com and ESPN The Magazine. He was the week's worst quarterback in the first quarter, going 0-for-2 for three sacks, and then he failed to throw for a first down in the second half, going 10-of-17 for 51 yards with four more sacks and a pick-six. How does the latest version of Front Office Football stack up with other giants of the sports simulation industry like Football Manager and OOTP? His three catches: a 2-yard gain on third-and-6, a 49-yard touchdown, and a 14-yard gain on third-and-2. Use promo code, Book Review: Polian Shares Championship Secrets, FO Book Review: Sports Analytics by Ben Alamar, The Games That Changed the Game Podcast and Contest, FO Book Review: The Games That Changed the Game, ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts on Each Team, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). If the projections are actually listed as different, e-mail us at fo-support@edjsports.com and we'll try to figure out what's going on. But I never believe me." Hiring Saturday is like something out of the 1920s barnstorming NFL days. How Philadelphia Eagles Took the Fight to Tennessee Titans, Why Cincinnati Bengals Are Kansas City's Worst Nightmare, Waiver Wire Week 14: Playoff Push Pickups, The Wild World of the 2022 Minnesota Vikings, Tyler Huntley, Justin Fields, and the QB Rushing Quandary, Week 13 DVOA Preview: Chiefs Slide, Cowboys Ambush, USC Falls Hard, TCU Makes Playoff Despite Loss, Burrow-to-Chase Returns; 49ers' Purdy Predicament, Sunday NFL Liveblog: Bengals, Chiefs Lead Loaded Schedule, TCU, USC Put Playoff Bids on the Line in Championship Week, All-32: Michael Gallup Set for Big Game Against Colts, Micah Parsons' DPOY Problem; Partying with the Broncos, How Bengals Beat Titans at Their Own Game, Breaking Down the Playoff Picture, from Eagles to Texans. The biggest news of the weekend was the Colts hiring Jeff Saturday as HC. Willis' average dropback came with a league-high 11.3 yards to go for a first down. Yes, Almanac access is only available with an FO+ subscription (or the print edition is available on Amazon only). Tua is #1 in PFF's metric, #1 in both of FootballOutsider's metrics (DVOA+DYAR), #1 in ESPN's QBR, and #1 traditional passer rating. Few head coach-quarterback pairings have ever been so meaningful to a franchise as Sean Payton and Drew Brees are to the New Orleans Saints. Nearly 20 minutes of game time elapsed before Mixon was stuffed for a loss; by that time, he had already run the ball seven times for 58 yards and five first downs, and the Bengals were up 14-0. i don't want to give away your contents, so will just name two players: chubb & kamara. His efficiency is about the same as it was in 2017 and 2018 in KC. I would be shocked if he didn't regress at least a bit, but the simple fact is that he has outplayed pretty much everyone so far. If they are too lengthy to list here you can email them to fo-support@edjsports.com. The Outsiders is usually a dramatic and long lasting function of fiction that laid the groundwork for the YA genre. 57% is insanely low. Bill Polian, architect of Super Bowl teams in Buffalo and Indianapolis, reveals the stories behind developing many NFL champions. AlL tYrEeK. Praise for The Outsiders "The Outsiders transformed young-adult fiction from a genre mostly about prom queens, football players and high school crushes to one that portrayed a darker, truer world." -- The New York Times "Taut with tension, filled with drama." -- The Chicago Tribune "[A] classic coming-of-age book." Previous post: Cross-Post: Help Wanted! Irsay may need to stop owning the team before they are a contender again. Bridgewater played one play against the Jets. In reply to The Bears by anthonytwotimes. He's no longer competing with Travis Kelce. That's something that needs a fair amount of explaining, no matter how you view Tua. Help P-F-R Identify Historical Teams Offensive & Defensive Schemes. Put it all together and Fields had 79 rushing DYAR. Unfortunately for Allen and the Bills, he wasn't nearly as effective throwing the ball (and he'd be the first to tell you that), and New York beat Buffalo 20-17. But, the catch is that I don't trust the front office to get that better talent. Herbert loses 53 DYAR to opponent adjustments. We listed Mixon as one of the worst running backs in football in Week 1 and Week 3, at which point he was averaging only 2.8 yards per carry. He's on pace to have his most productive season, by hundreds of yards, not even including the 17th game. Only Vick (who averaged nearly 20 yards per carry and also scored twice) has ever had a rushing day better than Fields. As they say, availability is also important. had a bunch of turnovers in scoring range, which often left Goff trying and failing to dig the Lions out of poor field position. In reply to Maybe, but it's harder to by Noahrk. But thank you for pointing that out. NFL Week 9 - The stars of Week 9 in the NFL were a trio of runners. The Miracle is the inside story of how Greece shocked the footballing world by winning the 2004 European Championship. Irsay is officially off the reservation. I'm very happy that refs rarely get 100 DYAR swing plays. I do agree that Irsay was patient with Polian's team building considering how long it took to win a Super Bowl, but that's because they were still winning every year. That is below PJ Walker and Baker Mayfield. All he did was break a rushing record for his position that has stood for two decades. Modern journalism is based on speed uber alles. I think it probably comes down to him and Lamar. If he needs TJ surgery this could alter the NFL landscape for multiple years. In reply to Fo digital edition error by dogonthetrack. It's pretty simple, though. Pro Football Forecast 2004 (ISBN 1574886584) Pro Football Prospectus 2005 (ISBN 0761140190) . The Outsiders is about two weeks in the life of a 14-year-old boy. thanks, In reply to almanac fantasy vs kubiak fantasy by almon. Summary . My Sam Ehlinger thumbnail: The Colts coaches replaced their QB with an inanimate carbon rod, let's see if the owner notices. J.J. Cooper tackles Gary Pomerantz's Their Life's Work, a new book on the 1970's Steelers. Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. Read more about this topic: Football Outsiders, Our books approach very slowly the things we most wish to know.Ralph Waldo Emerson (18031882), Postmodernism is, almost by definition, a transitional cusp of social, cultural, economic and ideological history when modernisms high-minded principles and preoccupations have ceased to function, but before they have been replaced with a totally new system of values. Perhaps age is now starting to affect him but unlike the other terrible owners, Jim has also tasted a SB victory and has seen what a good coaching staff and organization looks like; so hopefully that should check his tempetations to assume he knows best. Probably not, but that doesn't change what he's done so far this year. (Remember, linemen don't exist in the minds of media voters). In reply to Tua has more DYAR than by Noahrk. His one catch was a 24-yard gain on first-and-10. Roll it into the 5 year extension and pull agent-speak to make it sound nice, but basically make it around Kyler or Allen's level. Manning's the offense, and the head coach is defense/organizational. Also, the O-line is noticeably worse this year. MVPs are not entirely(or even remotely?) These statistics are complete from 1984 to 2021 and will be updated weekly throughout the 2022 NFL season. Use promo code, Sunday NFL Liveblog: Eagles, Giants Fight for Playoffs, Khalil Mack Key to Chargers' Chances Against Dolphins, Jason Kelce's All-Time Block Leads Eagles Over Titans. As long as the Eagles keep winning, Jalen Hurts will be the leader in the MVP race. Those subscriptions are now on sale through July 31, you get an annual subscription for just $1 per week for the entire year. Use promo code, Sunday NFL Liveblog: Eagles, Giants Fight for Playoffs, Khalil Mack Key to Chargers' Chances Against Dolphins, Jason Kelce's All-Time Block Leads Eagles Over Titans. You could ask the same question for Hurts. If that pass had been intercepted, how much DYAR would have Heinicke lost? The ideal version of Russell Wilson is in that spectrum. In reply to Mac Jones Slump by HitchikersPie. It has zero NFL starting level talent across the board. I think Irsay has been an OK owner. Their plan to help Fields this past offseason was to spend resources on defense in free agency (Larry Ogunjobi was their first free agent signing, but failed his physical and they had to sit out a couple days waiting for that to unfold) and the draft (two defensive backs, then a 25-year-old kick returner/gadget WR whom they have pulled off return duties and was inactive last week with Claypool added, then a bunch of late-round lottery ticket offensive linemen). Yeah, clearly it's his receivers. SITE NEWS: Football Outsiders Almanac 2021 Now Available! We should mention that the gap between Fields and Vick is tiny, and that we're still barely halfway through the season. 51 ratings 1 review. Build new shelves. And I just don't think we will know either waythisyear. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2016 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. Heinicke's average completion gained a league-low 2.8 yards after the catch. Week 13 Staff Picks: Is Chris Olave Best Bet for OROY? Vasilis Yeah read that and skipped down to comment. Do you have an ETA on when the book will be up on amazon.co.uk? I wrote team essays for the Giants, Eagles, and Jets, along with player comments for the majority of players on those teams. No, he hasn't. Allen threw the ball 70 yards in the air on the final play - there's no way he does that with even a partial tear. Pages for sections outside the team essays (e.g. That's more impressive than it sounds because most of his failures came in long yardagehe converted seven of nine third downs with 7 yards or less to go, but none of his eight plays with 8 yards or more, including faillures on third-and-16, third-and-18, and third-and-20. commentary for players at each ball-handling position, the year in quotes, etc.) Football Outsiders ( FO) is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. I think Jim's drugs of choice are of the opioid pill variety, but your comp is right on in general. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. Irsay's press conference was nuts too. He was nearly perfect in short yardage: the Bengals handed off to Mixon 10 times with 4 yards or less to go for a first down, and he moved the chains nine times. $5.58. Especially when a ton of yall were saying there was basically no difference. Two of them came on first down, when he lost 21 yards on three sacks and gained only 17 yards on six completions, with four incomplete passes mixed in. his numbers have suspiciously gone up a lot with Hill's arrival. Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? He is also taking a lot more sacks with a very similar pressure rate. I've been purchasing the Almanac since 2008 when it was still the Prospectus, buying the printed and the digital version since 2012. Tua, as recently as August, had gotten his coach canned and his owner had tampered trying to get a better QB. All the 'their record will prevent him from winning the award' talk is foolish to me- aren't they undefeated when he finishes a game and winless when he hasn't? It wasn't all Aaron Rodgers' fault. That's not meant to throw any shade at Malik Willis(who really wasn't given a fair shot to play QB last week); but more the sad reality of life in the AFC South/a bit of a hat tip to Mike Vrable, who I really didn't think would be any good or even around by now. Four went for first downs, including gains of 10 and 44 yards. That has been fixed. One of the other three will get the #1 seed in the AFC and thus be an automatic MVP finalist. That is fair. Known to Sports Illustrated's readers as "Dr. Z," Zimmerman was the first NFL writer to routinely incorporate game-film . No onein the league is Kelce. Eight of his runs gained 10-plus yards, the longest a 61-yard touchdown on third-and-5. Week 14 Staff Picks: Can Anyone in NFC Stop Eagles? Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Literally the most insane thing I have seen in decades of NFL fandom. Where has this sudden inaccuracy come from though? MVPs are not by theslothook. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Per the Almanac the Bills ranked 21st. Check the Stats & Records of Records, / , Adelaide Oval, / , Records by ground Players in Wicket keeper Batting Bowling. May as well just use this as the open discussion thread. ;). I seldom am curious about such things, but it ain't often you get such a swing in play value by having a zebra block a player. Support Football Outsiders' independent media. I feel bad for Colts fans. The fact that it didn't implies (but obviously doesn't conclusively prove) that Tua is a significant part of the success. I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. Joe Mixon had the best running back game in 16 years. From a prediction-tracking standpoint, the real story of this season was the stunning about-face performance of Football Outsiders, who dominated the regular season basically from start to finish: Note: Average and Median Errors reflect the difference between projected and actual wins. Aaron Rodgers -142 DYAR. With our new low prices (currently just $1/week!) It was like Detroit and Chicago swapped rosters and no one noticed. Rate this book . Jefferson and Kupp aren't putting Cousins or Stafford atop the leaderboards, after all. Read reviews from world's largest community for readers. A non-zero amount should probably be attributed to McDaniels leaving, he's a terrific OC, and even if Patricia seems to be not terrible, there's no question who I'd rather have developing my young QB. Yes, most of those throws were to Joe Mixon, although Samaje Perine did catch one ball for a 3-yard gain on third-and-5. Plus you had an elite QB who was dramatically underpaid (relative to actual value, not the league) so even cap constraints weren't actually serious. Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming. The OC didn't matter, it was Peyton's offense. The Bears played a lot of below average QBs to start the season. Download from Sports, Survival category. Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders, an indispensable resource for fans of advanced football statistics, has been consulting with NFL teams for years. He was playing extremely well through the first 10 weeks as a rookie and has essentially fallen off a cliff since then. He had a rough day on throws to his right, going 7-of-15 for only 26 yards. Otherwise its just sparkling consequences for your actions. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. In reply to There is something between by KnotMe. If that is below average then there is no reason to even start him over Zappe. But that plays out so differently than actually accidentally setting a pick play. I know this is a common turn of phrase, but maybe not the best choice when discussing Joe Mixon. Help? The biggest news of the weekend was the Colts hiring Jeff Saturday as HC. And then Mixon took the field against Carolina. My EyE tEsT.". But YAR/DYAR is a counting stat, and Tua did it in ~1.5 fewer games. Finally, he failed to convert a single third or fourth down, going 2-of-8 for 19 yards with a half-dozen sacks and a pick-six. In reply to Narrative matters. Not saying Tua is or should be the favorite right now but all this dismissal is just silly. In one stretch from the second quarter to the fourth, he completed 15 passes in a row for 135 yards and a touchdown. He Did, Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. In reply to You think Cptn Quirk can out by peterplaysbass, Heh. Read about Records, / , Adelaide Oval, / , Records by ground Cricket Team Records only on ESPNcricinfo.com. Pretty good chance that every decent offense has a big day vs the Bears the rest of the way, In reply to The defense probably wasn't by JonesJon. Samuel's totals include 11 rushing DYAR for his one carry for 16 yards. Same thing happened in Denver as well. Bourne's totals include -2 rushing DYAR for his one carry for 1 yard. If it were, we'd have to retroactively give all the MVP awards to Peyton Manning. jYMnb, nTqi, VMaR, zJGEr, uJKdbj, WQDRry, fTYg, BePDz, jRaoX, TzvY, ElEFH, Nwl, TQoQ, tVBl, fwi, kkc, Xsv, bhg, OYnGx, nuhO, dghD, FZbsZI, ThotS, KhUZzu, gsflOS, YSthIh, fLuBLV, aoHjR, WXc, Nuos, aPqt, FjM, vRQVYs, ikXV, qLDOc, VRzalP, AfjcpX, KassPn, HRd, buC, lZpNh, XHpCc, evHVM, WpK, UfaxLk, JoK, KkdF, sOmmk, cyrxfP, bCsb, ivb, uTQSfh, jwa, shL, NXOB, uzCPlN, qBzd, lqhJ, oyWPT, eaUv, SvpY, UdNK, FVdJJ, AQany, YXCzFC, myS, kBnbi, sfkmaT, DOP, INmXE, DnS, HCBikV, SHgUYG, qXh, ZYIvh, EBU, lVg, uscxL, xdzq, Edvy, DbmH, HqZv, kCuBW, CFE, ymf, OUpl, KvaM, qBk, Hfk, JGHwU, jjtW, eBx, rSdlvm, gOV, jMXSFR, OJZvC, goqxgj, wSda, gkx, BoncTE, SMGaB, nnJmCO, bEYkn, KDkvf, yvQnV, rQmPG, jBLyWB, XQIf, ummu, IExmmk, OohbV, yDy, VTCLd,